Wednesday, April 15, 2020

What is a Risk Assessment?


“But the Lord said to Samuel, “Do not look on his appearance or on the height of his stature, because I have rejected him. For the Lord sees not as man sees: man looks on the outward appearance, but the Lord looks on the heart.” (1 Samuel 16:7)

I've written about Risk Assessment in the past but this time I would like to look at the topic on a deeper level.  Risk Assessment is evaluating persons and situations, and determining the credibility and seriousness of a potential threat, as well as the probability that the threat could cause disruptions, including violence.  This is both preventative and preparatory. Proverbs 27:23 says that we are to "Be sure you know the condition of your flocks, give careful attention to your herds…"  

When a person is determined to be at risk for disruptive behavior, there may be an opportunity to help that person through intervention.  More than protecting the church, this becomes a ministry to the people involved.  If a situation within the congregation is likely to develop into violent disruption, it may be possible to take steps to correct it before it's too late. This is also an opportunity for ministry.

Risk Assessment also considers people outside the church's immediate circle if they are potential threats to the security and safety of the flock.  Church members may know of someone outside who is considering the church as a target for some kind of crime, whether simple vandalism, arson, or threats against the congregation itself, and they may tell church leadership about it.  People in the community may report potential threats, and notification can also come from law enforcement.

Whatever the source, a possible threat should be taken seriously enough for the Risk Assessment Team to discuss it.  They should consider how serious the threat is, and at what level.  Since the person(s) or the situation is outside the church, our intervention is almost always not an option. Therefore the Team has to decide on what the best way is to protect the church. This includes means of identifying the persons constituting the threat so that Security Team members and others can be on the lookout for them.  Law enforcement may be asked to assist if the threat is of a serious crime (especially if deadly force or arson).

This brings us to the definition of a Risk Assessment team.  Except for military and law enforcement agencies, threat assessment teams have not been regular features until recently.  In a way they are similar to weather forecasting staff at the National Weather Service, but the data considered are not ocean temperatures and jet streams.  More specifically, a threat assessment team is a group of people that organize to identify, evaluate, and address threats or potential threats to security.  Now, many schools and businesses have their own risk assessment teams. This is mostly because of the rise in mass killings and workplace/school violence

Establishing such a team requires careful planning and a methodical approach.  The members of a threat assessment team in a church would include pastoral and lay staff, and some ministry leaders, as well as the Church Safety & Security Director.  If the church has a Christian school it might include teachers and school health personnel.  

Assessing risks requires an understanding of the church community, ability to identify vulnerabilities, knowledge of current threats, and creativity to predict new threats.  If certain professionals are in the congregation, for example, a social worker, a psychologist, or a law enforcement officer, one or more of them may be included.  A small church might not have a formal threat assessment team, but a few congregational leaders can act as one.  All threat assessment discussions are confidential.  

Persons not on the assessment team should be told only what they need to know to protect the church. Even then, this should be confidential.  We do not want to foster gossip, and we do not want to give the bad guys any leverage.  Although the team may meet regularly, they can share information with each other apart from a meeting.  Special meetings may be called to address urgent situations.  The intention of the team is not to wait until there is a disaster to consider warning signs.

Persons may exhibit several things characterizing them as potential risks for disruptive behavior.  The Canadian Center of Occupational Health and Safety [1] identified certain behavior patterns to be discussed by a Risk Assessment Team:

1) History of violence
2) Threatening behavior
3) Intimidating behavior
4) Increase in personal stress
5) Negative personality traits
6) Changes in mood or behavior

There are several points under each of these patterns to consider.  The Canadian document is geared toward preventing workplace violence, but several of the items apply to preventing violent disruptions in churches.  Here is a sample of questions related to these patterns:

History of Violence

We need personal knowledge of a subject's history of violence to answer these questions.  Here are three questions that can help:

1) Does the person have a fascination with incidents of violence?
2) Has the person committed violent acts before?
3) Evidence of earlier violent behavior.

Threatening Behavior

One thing a church can do is let members know they can confidentially inform leaders of threats made to them.  If that kind of threat is brought in, encourage them to go to the police or let the church do it.  Actual threats should be taken very seriously.  Here are three questions to consider:

1) Does the person hold a grudge against the church or someone in the church?
2) Has the person made a threat (verbal or written) to hurt somebody?
3) Have the threats been escalating?

Intimidating Behavior

Two kinds of violent disruptions are aggressive and defensive.  Intimidating behavior often indicates an aggressive person.  However, a defensive person may try to appear intimidating to deter a perceived threat.  Here are four indicators, the first two are key:

1) Is the person argumentative or uncooperative?
2) Does the person displays unwarranted anger?
3) Is the person impulsive or easily frustrated?
4) Does the person challenges peers and authority figures?

Increase in Personal Stress

Many disruptors face increasing personal stress. The three questions here are:

1) Is there a romantic obsession that is not reciprocated?
2) Are there serious family or financial problems?
3) Has there been a recent job loss or personal loss?

Negative Personality Traits

There are other stressors besides these.

Here is a deep-rooted point.  Some of these negative traits may be just bad habits.  On the other hand, some of these indicate or suggest personality disorders.  It takes informed discretion to tell the difference.  Seven questions are:

1) Is the person suspicious of others?
2) Does the person believes he or she is entitled to something?
3) Cannot the person take criticism?
4) Does the person feels victimized?
5) Does the person show a lack of concern for the safety or well-being of others?
6) Does this person blame others for his problems or mistakes?
7) Does this person express low self-esteem?

Responsible intervention may help someone with negative personality traits.  If the person at risk is cooperative, they may overcome some of these shortcomings with counseling, mentoring, and discipleship.

On the other hand, a sociopath or psychopath may appear to go along for a while just to get through the process, then turn around and retaliate or seek a more unsuspecting target.  This is one reason we should be willing to share this kind of information with another church which is checking references.

Changes in Mood or Behavior

When a person's mood or behavior changes, it makes people wonder, "Why?  What happened?" Some changes should make those responsible for safety and security think something is going on.  Just a few of these questions are:

1) Has the person demonstrated extreme or bizarre behaviors?
2) Does the person have any irrational beliefs or ideas?
3) Does the person appear depressed?
4) Has the person drastically changed his or her belief system?
5) Does the person have a history of negative interpersonal relationships?
6) Does the person see the church as a dysfunctional family?
7) Is the person struggling with controlled substances or alcohol?
8) Is the person suffering from serious family or financial problems?

As with the other points, consideration by a threat assessment team may be a blessing for the person(s) concerned if it gets them needed help.

Assessing possible threats of violence against the church is a safety & security tool churches should use.  Knowing what threats we face not only enables us to prevent violence or prepare for it; it also provides us the opportunity for intervention.  In some cases, this could be considered verbal de-escalation before the disruptive situation.

Be safe!
 



[1] Canadian Center for Occupational Health and Safety, "Violence in the workplace: Warning signs," October 6, 2014 [https://www.ccohs.ca/oshanswers/psychosocial/violence_warning_signs.html].







Integrity Security Consulting

Russ Sharrock

405-762-2471 | integrityseccon@hotmail.com



I have developed and made available to anyone interested, for FREE, a series of Security & Safety forms that can be printed for your use:

1) A Safety & Security Risk Assessment Form
2) Church Security Plan Template
3) Church Emergency Plan Template
4) A General Fire Safety Checklist
5) A Bomb Threat Checklist
6) A Bomb Threat Distance Chart:  Includes various types of explosive devises and to be referred to in an event of a bomb threat evacuation.  These are minimum distances to evacuate away from the area of explosion.
7) Facility Lockdown Checklist
8) Child Protection Covenant
9) Church Emergency Management Checklist

These MS Word documents can be adapted as necessary to fit your church size and needs.  I will be adding new forms as time allows.

For a copy of any of these FREE forms, or if you have any questions, contact me and let me know what your needs are.


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